In a hypothetical 2024 Republican primary poll, former President Donald J. Trump still has a double-digit cushion over his possible challengers.
According to the most recent “2024 GOP Primary Tracker” survey by Morning Consult, which was conducted from January 6 to 8, 46 percent of likely Republican primary voters support Trump in his quest for the nomination. With 33 percent of the vote, Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) is in second place, trailing by 13 points. Nine percent of respondents choose former Vice President Mike Pence. No other contender even came close to having support in the double digits.
Former Representative Liz Cheney (R-WY) is supported by 3% of respondents, while former UN ambassador Nikki Haley and senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) each get 2% of the vote. Former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, Senator Tim Scott, and Governor Greg Abbott each have one percent of the vote.
Trump’s support has slightly increased since a previous Morning Consult poll from January 4 was released. According to the survey results, Pence had 8% support, DeSantis 34%, and Trump 45% of the respondents.
Desantis is the second option for 44% of those who expect to vote for Trump, followed by Pence for 20% and Cruz for 8% of those who plan to vote for Trump. Haley is the second choice for another 3% of people. Similarly, 35% of DeSantis backers choose Trump as their second choice, followed by 15% for Pence, and 11% for Haley. Nine percent would support Cruz. The survey section on first and second choices for the Republican primary includes responses from 4,470 potential primary voters.
More than 7,500 registered voters were polled by Morning Consult about potential general election contests in 2024 between Trump and Joe Biden, as well as between DeSantis and Biden.
Biden receives 44% of the vote in a rerun of the 2020 election, compared to Trump’s 41%. Four percent are unsure, while another 11% say they would support someone else. In Morning Consult’s main tracker, where they were at 40% and 44 percent, respectively, last week, Trump increased his lead over Biden by one point. In a head-to-head comparison, DeSantis and Biden are tied at 43 percent of the vote each, while 7 percent say they would support a different candidate and another 7 percent are unsure.