BREAKING NEWS

Polling Expert Says Election “No Longer Toss Up”

Following a fresh election forecast strongly suggesting that former President Trump will win in November, Democrats are in full panic mode and focusing their attention once more on the Electoral College.

After running the models, election expert Nate Silver calculated that Trump had a 65.7% chance of defeating President Biden. “The presidential election isn’t a toss-up,” the statistical expert declared in a blog post following the findings, which he revealed on Wednesday.

“I honestly don’t think Biden has a greater chance of winning; I think Trump has a better chance,” Silver said.

According to the New York Post, Silver’s most recent forecast, which is based on 40,000 model runs, indicates that Biden, 81, would probably defeat Trump, 78, in the national popular vote by a tenth of a percentage point (47.2% to 47.1%). But according to Silver’s forecast, Trump will receive 287 electoral votes in the crucial Electoral College, which is slightly more than the 270 required to win the presidency.

If the popular vote is almost evenly divided, Silver stated, “You would expect Biden to be in grave trouble if the Electoral College/popular vote disparity looks anything like it did in 2016 or 2020.”

“Biden will need to win all three of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania if he loses Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada—and he lags significantly in each of those states,” he noticed.

In 54 percent of our simulations, Biden prevails in at least one of these states. However, in only 32 [%] of the simulations, does he win all three of them,” Silver continued. “This is the level of accuracy that a model can offer that your intuition truly can’t.”

The Democrats were obviously attempting to assign blame because Silver’s prediction did not look good for them. Political podcaster and columnist Matt Yglesias laid the blame on the Electoral College.

Social media rolled its eyes collectively at the sarcastic remark.

Author: Steven Sinclaire

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8 thoughts on “Polling Expert Says Election “No Longer Toss Up””

  1. Working from home, I earn $165 per hour. When my neighbor told me she was now making an average of $95, I was very astonished, but now (ubd-83) I understand how it works. I now have a great deal of freedom thanks to becoming my own employer.

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  2. I never thought the election was a “Toss-Up”. How in The World can the dumbest person to have ever occuping The White House beat former President Trump or even anyone else with an IQ of 90 or more?????????????

    1. The same way he won in 2020, by hiding and massive fraud. The problem is that both of those tactics are no longer viable. There’s no plandemic and fraud is far more difficult now.

  3. BRING OUR REAL PRESIDENT TRUMP BACK TO SAVE AMERICA AND CLOSE THE BORDER AND STOP THE INVASION AND NO MORE RIGGED ELECTIONS AND STOP MAIL BOX VOTING! STOP IT!! GOD KNOWS THE TRUTH, BIDEN DID NOT WIN ANY ELECTION! IT WAS ALL RIGGED BY OUR OWN GOVERNMENT! AMEN!! NO ID NO VOTE! VOTE ONE DAY ONLY! NO MORE VOTING FOR MONTHS UNTIL IT IS RIGGED AGAIN! THE THE AMERICAN PEOPLE WiII TAKE UP ARMS AGAINST OUR CROOKED POLITICIANS AND OUR CROOKED GOVERNMENT! THE TRUTH WILL PREVAIL! AMEN MAKE AMERICA GREAT AND SAFE AGAIN. KICK ALL DEMS OUT OF OUR GOVERNMENT! FIRE EVERYONE IN THE FBI, DO THE SAME FOR THE CIA AND THE IRS AND THE NSA! SHUT THEM CROOKED SCUMBAGS DOWN!!! AMEN GOD KNOWS THE TRUTH! STOP LYING!!!!!!

    1. Trump never proved he was cheated in
      20/20. He just shouted that he was cheated.
      The courts said “no”. People like you believed him . Anyway, he will win in 20/24.
      I am a Republican but I dislike him very
      much .

  4. “We have put together, I think, the most intensive and inclusive voter fraud organization in the history of American politics.” – Joe Biden. Calculate that into your election prognostications.

  5. I love how the Dems always harp on and whine about the popular vote, as if they ever stood a snowball in hell’s chance of repealing the electoral vote law. What pisses them off the most is that they know why it’s in place, to prevent failing, f***ed up blue states with huge populations of stupid people, from imposing their failures on the rest of us.

  6. The only way the 2024 election can be defined as a “toss up” is because it depends how much WE allow the democratic socialist party to cheat AGAIN! No more America is taking back her election process even it it means WAR!

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