Think Mass Migration Is Slowing Down? Think Again

Hussein Eddeb

Over 800 illegal migrants crossed the English Channel from France on Saturday alone.

That’s a new record for December. The highest daily total since the crisis began in 2018.

Nigel Farage’s response to Prime Minister Keir Starmer: “Gutless and useless.”

Hard to argue with that assessment.

The Numbers Tell the Story of Complete Failure

Let’s look at what’s actually happening:

Saturday: 803 crossings — highest December day ever recorded.

Last weekend: 737 crossings.

2025 total: 41,455 — first time over 40,000 since 2022.

Compared to 2024: 36,816 for the entire year.

The crisis isn’t stabilizing. It isn’t improving. It’s accelerating.

Labour swept to power promising to fix Britain’s borders. Instead, they’ve presided over a massive surge in illegal arrivals.

The “One In, One Out” Deal That’s Actually “41,000 In, 153 Out”

Starmer’s signature border policy was the so-called “one in, one out” deal with France.

The theory: Illegal boat migrants can be sent back to France after being brought ashore in Britain, in exchange for the UK accepting alleged asylum seekers from France.

The reality: As of last month, the scheme had removed exactly 153 people.

One hundred fifty-three. While 41,455 arrived.

That’s not “one in, one out.” That’s “271 in, one out.”

Even worse? There are documented cases of migrants being removed to France under the scheme — and then simply returning to Britain on small boats.

The deal isn’t just failing. It’s a joke.

France Isn’t Even Trying to Help

The French approach to the Channel crisis is simple: Let them leave, they’re Britain’s problem now.

French authorities watch boats launch from their beaches. French police stand by as smugglers load migrants into dinghies. The French government takes British money while doing nothing meaningful to stop the flow.

Starmer’s deal gave France everything they wanted — British acceptance of asylum seekers, British cash, British cooperation — in exchange for almost nothing.

153 removals. 41,455 arrivals.

That’s not a deal. That’s a surrender.

What Actually Works — But Starmer Won’t Do

Nigel Farage recently reached an understanding with Jordan Bardella, president of France’s National Rally and the current odds-on favorite to replace Emmanuel Macron.

Bardella’s position: Allow Britain to push migrant boats back to French waters.

“I can’t defend the notion of pushbacks and then refuse to allow Great Britain to do the same,” Bardella said.

Pushbacks work. Australia proved it. When boats know they’ll be turned around, fewer boats launch.

But Starmer won’t push boats back. It might offend France. It might upset the NGOs. It might trigger accusations of being “inhumane.”

So instead, 800+ people cross in a single day, the smuggling networks rake in millions, and British taxpayers foot the bill for housing, feeding, and processing arrivals who bypassed every legal immigration process.

“The British People Deserve Better”

Even the Home Office admits failure.

A spokesperson said: “The number of small boat crossings are shameful and the British people deserve better.”

At least they’re honest about the shame.

But then comes the spin: “We have removed almost 50,000 people who were here illegally, and our historic deal with the French means those who arrive on small boats are now being sent back.”

Except the deal has returned 153 people while 41,000 arrived. That’s not “being sent back.” That’s a rounding error.

The Weather Break Is Over

The recent surge follows a month of relative quiet due to harsh weather in the Channel.

That quiet is over. Crossings have resumed. The smuggling networks are operating at full capacity.

Winter doesn’t stop the boats. Cold doesn’t stop the boats. The only thing that stops the boats is a government willing to actually stop them.

Britain doesn’t have that government.

First Time Over 40,000 Since 2022

The 2025 total of 41,455 is the first time arrivals have exceeded 40,000 since 2022, when 45,755 reached British shores.

The Tories were rightly criticized for their failure to control the border. Voters threw them out partly because of frustration over Channel crossings.

Labour promised to do better. They’ve done worse.

At the current trajectory, 2025 could approach or exceed the 2022 record. And there’s nothing in Starmer’s approach that suggests the situation will improve.

Farage Is Right: “Gutless and Useless”

Nigel Farage has been sounding the alarm on illegal Channel crossings for years.

His assessment of Starmer: “Gutless and useless.”

Gutless — because Starmer won’t implement policies that might draw criticism from the European establishment or the NGO sector.

Useless — because his policies demonstrably don’t work. 153 removals against 41,455 arrivals isn’t policy failure. It’s policy absence.

Reform UK is surging in polls partly because voters see what Farage sees: A government that won’t defend British borders and won’t admit its approach has failed.

What Happens Next

The crossings will continue. The numbers will grow. The smuggling networks will profit.

Starmer will announce new “initiatives” that change nothing. The Home Office will issue statements expressing “concern.” Labour MPs will blame the Tories for a crisis Labour is making worse.

And every day, more boats will land on British beaches carrying people who bypassed every legal immigration process — knowing that once they arrive, they’ll never be sent back.

41,455 and counting.

“The British people deserve better.”

They certainly do. They’re just not going to get it from this government.


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