A recent poll suggests that abortion will be a significant issue in the 2024 election, with Democrats currently holding a notable advantage over Republicans on the matter. According to a Rasmussen Reports survey, A recent Rasmussen Reports survey indicates that abortion is likely to be a critical issue in the 2024 elections, with Democrats currently holding a substantial lead over Republicans on the topic. The poll, involving 987 likely voters between November 8 and 9, shows that 77% of respondents consider abortion an essential issue for the next election, including 48% who deem it “very important.” This survey has a margin of error of ±3 percentage points.
The findings reveal that 47% of likely U.S. voters have more confidence in Democrats to address abortion issues, compared to 36% who favor Republicans, creating an 11-point gap. This represents an increase from an earlier poll in May, where Democrats had only a 3-point lead.
The survey shows a division in terms of “pro-choice” and pro-life stances among voters. A majority of 54% identify as “pro-choice,” while 38% are pro-life. Among party lines, 75% of Democrats identify as “pro-choice,” compared to 33% of Republicans and 53% of independents. Conversely, only 20% of Democrats are pro-life, in contrast to 60% of Republicans and 36% of unaffiliated voters.
The poll also highlights that Democrats (58%) are more likely than Republicans (41%) and independents (42%) to view abortion as a “very important” issue in 2024. Party loyalty is evident as 85% of Democratic voters trust their party more on abortion issues, while 73% of Republican voters trust their party more. Among independents, 36% trust Democrats more, 33% lean towards Republicans, and 31% are undecided.
Gender differences are also notable in the poll, with 60% of women identifying as “pro-choice” compared to 47% of men. Women also demonstrate a 20-point preference for Democrats over Republicans on handling abortion issues, while men are more evenly split between the two parties.
Racial and income demographics further shed light on voters’ stances. Black voters (66%) and a majority of white voters and other minority groups prefer Democrats to handle the abortion issue. Additionally, voters under 40 and those earning over $200,000 annually are more likely to be pro-choice and trust Democrats on this issue.