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Taiwan on High Alert as China Beats War Drums

--FILE--Chinese soldiers of the PLA (People's Liberation Army) practise goose steps during a training session for the upcoming military parade to commemorate the 70th anniversary of the victory in the Chinese People's War of Resistance against Japanese Aggression at a training base in Beijing, China, 9 August 2015.

As infantrymen polish their buckles and honour guards practice their marches one final time, the stage is set for the  parade in Beijing on Thursday (3 September 2015) to mark the end of the second world war. Global leaders can expect a display of awe-inspiring power from the world's largest army, which will be represented by 12,000 Chinese troops in 50 formations, nearly 200 aircraft, seven types of missiles and a dazzling array of hardware never before shown publicly. Yet with all eyes on the pomp  in Tiananmen Square, behind the scenes, China's military is in flux. Several plans for reform have been suggested, but one envisages the most radical restructuring of the forces ever. The plans, aimed at turning the People's Liberation Army into a modern fighting force fit for battle and capable of projecting power overseas, envisage overhauling outdated command structures, unifying the army, navy and air force along Western lines, and further consolidating the army's military command regions,  now seven, down to four.

China just made its boldest move yet, launching a live-fire drill just 40 miles off Taiwan’s coast, and Taiwan is scrambling. Beijing didn’t even bother giving advance notice—Taiwan only found out after local ships were suddenly warned away. The drills, taking place dangerously close to Taiwan’s key port city of Kaohsiung, involved 32 Chinese military aircraft conducting exercises alongside warships. Taiwan’s defense ministry is calling it a blatant provocation and a major threat to regional security—and they’re absolutely right.

This isn’t an isolated incident. China’s military is flexing its muscles all over the Indo-Pacific. Just this month, they’ve run live-fire drills off Vietnam’s coast and between New Zealand and Australia, forcing commercial flights to change course. Now, they’re bringing the heat to Taiwan’s doorstep at the same time Chinese Communist Party officials are ramping up their rhetoric on “reunification.”

Xi Jinping has been clear for years—he will take Taiwan by force if necessary. And now, with the world distracted, Beijing is moving the chess pieces into place. Just one day before the drills, Taiwan’s coast guard detained a Chinese crew that allegedly severed an undersea fiber optic cable connecting Taiwan and Penghu. Was that a test run? A warning shot? A sign that China is preparing to cut Taiwan off from the world before making its move?

Taiwan split from China in 1949, and the island has been a thriving democracy ever since. But Beijing still calls it a “rebel province”, and Xi’s latest actions prove that the CCP is done waiting. The U.S. has long supported Taiwan’s independence—but will Washington act if Beijing makes its move?

This isn’t just about Taiwan. It’s about China testing how much it can get away with. If the world lets this slide, what comes next?


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